據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)7月3日?qǐng)?bào)道，路透周一對(duì)六位亞洲煉油消息人士的調(diào)查顯示，預(yù)計(jì)沙特阿拉伯8月將下調(diào)輸往亞洲的原油價(jià)格，以反映市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)。

根據(jù)路透社的調(diào)查，全球最大的原油出口商沙特阿美公司(Saudi Aramco)將把沙特旗艦級(jí)阿拉伯輕質(zhì)原油(Arab Light)的官方售價(jià)(OSP)與7月份相比降低約0.50美元/桶。

沙特阿拉伯通常在每個(gè)月的5號(hào)公布下個(gè)月的OSP，而大多數(shù)其他中東大型原油出口國(guó)通常都會(huì)遵循沙特阿拉伯的定價(jià)政策。

上個(gè)月，沙特阿拉伯將其7月份面向亞洲的旗艦級(jí)阿拉伯輕質(zhì)原油的OSP每桶提高了0.45美元，比阿曼/迪拜的平均價(jià)格高出3.00美元，中東原油的價(jià)格是根據(jù)阿曼/迪拜的平均價(jià)格定價(jià)的。7月份原油價(jià)格相對(duì)于阿曼/迪拜基準(zhǔn)價(jià)格的溢價(jià)為6個(gè)月來(lái)最高。

價(jià)格上漲令市場(chǎng)感到意外，市場(chǎng)原本預(yù)計(jì)價(jià)格會(huì)下降。

在7月價(jià)格上漲的前一天，歐佩克+生產(chǎn)商決定將目前的減產(chǎn)持續(xù)到2024年底，而歐佩克的最大生產(chǎn)商沙特阿拉伯表示，將在7月自愿減產(chǎn)100萬(wàn)桶/日，降至900萬(wàn)桶/日左右。沙特能源大臣薩勒曼表示，削減可能會(huì)延長(zhǎng)到7月以后。

根據(jù)路透社的調(diào)查，亞洲煉油廠預(yù)計(jì)8月份沙特將下調(diào)阿拉伯特級(jí)輕質(zhì)油、阿拉伯輕質(zhì)油和阿拉伯中質(zhì)油的官方售價(jià)，而一些煉油廠預(yù)計(jì)阿拉伯重質(zhì)油的價(jià)格將上調(diào)。

上月的意外漲價(jià)降低了亞洲煉油商的煉油利潤(rùn)率，這些煉油商現(xiàn)在期望沙特降價(jià)。

路透社調(diào)查中的一名受訪者表示，沙特需要削減價(jià)格以反映市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)。在過(guò)去的幾個(gè)月里，他們有點(diǎn)偏離了現(xiàn)實(shí)。

郝芬 譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下:

Saudi Arabia Expected To Cut Oil Prices To Asia

Saudi Arabia is expected to reduce the price of its crude oil going to Asia in August to reflect market movements, a Reuters survey of six Asian refining sources showed on Monday.  

Saudi Aramco, the world’s top crude oil exporter, is set to reduce the official selling price (OSP) for the flagship Saudi grade, Arab Light, by around $0.50 per barrel compared to the loadings for July, according to the Reuters poll.   

Saudi Arabia typically announces on the fifth of each month the OSPs for the following month and its pricing policy is generally followed by most of the other large Middle Eastern crude oil exporters.

Last month, Saudi Arabia raised the OSP for its flagship grade Arab Light for Asia for July by $0.45 per barrel to a premium of $3.00 over the Oman/Dubai average, off which Middle East crude for Asia is priced. The price for July was the highest premium against the Oman/Dubai benchmark in six months.

The price hike came as a surprise to the market, which had expected a cut in prices.

A day before the price hike for July, the OPEC+ producers decided to keep the current cuts until the end of 2024, while OPEC’s top producer, Saudi Arabia, said it would voluntarily reduce its production by 1 million bpd in July, to around 9 million bpd. The cut could be extended beyond July, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said.  

For August, Asian refiners expect the Saudis to cut the OSPs for Arab Extra Light, Arab Light, and Arab Medium, while some refiners expect Arab Heavy prices to be raised, according to the Reuters poll.

Last month’s unexpected price hike has reduced refining margins at the Asian refiners who now expect the Saudis to cut prices.

“Saudi needs to trim prices to reflect the market movements. They have gone a bit too far from the reality in the past few months,” one respondent in the Reuters survey said.