???? 據(jù)路透社2月6日報道，受經(jīng)濟復(fù)蘇的樂觀預(yù)期以及歐佩克及其盟友限制供應(yīng)的推動，油價周五上漲約1%，一度觸及一年來最高水平，逼近每桶60美元。
????因有跡象顯示更多經(jīng)濟刺激措施取得進展，美國股市觸及紀(jì)錄高位，油價也受到支撐，同時美國就業(yè)報告證實就業(yè)市場正在企穩(wěn)。
????布倫特原油價格上漲50美分，至每桶59.34美元，漲幅0.9%，此前曾觸及2020年2月20日以來的最高水平，至每桶59.79美元。美國原油期貨結(jié)算價上漲62美分，至每桶56.85美元，漲幅1.1%，此前一度達到每桶57.29美元，為2020年1月22日以來的最高水平。
????美國原油期貨本周上漲約9%，創(chuàng)下去年10月以來的最大漲幅，部分原因是美國原油庫存降至2020年3月份的水平。紐約OANDA高級市場分析師Edward Moya表示，"由于歐佩克+成功緩解了多數(shù)供應(yīng)方面的擔(dān)憂，且全球?qū)σ咔榈臉酚^情緒有所改善，布倫特原油正將目標(biāo)聚焦每桶60美元水準(zhǔn)。原油基本面依然穩(wěn)固，但考慮到近期的上漲，油價似乎有可能出現(xiàn)盤整。”
????上一次布倫特原油價格達到每桶60美元時，疫情還沒有蔓延開來，當(dāng)時各國經(jīng)濟開放，對燃料的需求要高得多。疫苗的推出給需求增長帶來了希望，但即使是樂觀主義者，如預(yù)計2021年全年將出現(xiàn)供應(yīng)缺口的歐佩克+也認(rèn)為石油消費在2022年之前不會恢復(fù)到疫情前的水平。
????Rystad能源公司石油市場負(fù)責(zé)人Bjornar Tonhaugen表示:“今天真正幫助市場的，也是我們看到的油價上漲的一個更合理的原因，再次來自沙特阿拉伯及其頂級公司沙特阿美。”
????沙特阿美將3月份對西北歐的阿拉伯輕質(zhì)原油官方售價（OSP）較上月上調(diào)1.40美元/桶，Tonhaugen表示，這可能表明沙特對需求前景更有信心，助長了市場看漲情緒。
????在周三的一次會議上，歐佩克+堅持其供應(yīng)緊縮政策。歐佩克+創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的減產(chǎn)幫助油價從去年的歷史低點回升。
????CMC Markets首席市場策略師邁克爾 麥卡錫(Michael McCarthy)表示:“歐佩克+減產(chǎn)確實起到了積極作用。”
????作為未來產(chǎn)量的早期指標(biāo)，美國石油鉆井平臺數(shù)量已經(jīng)連續(xù)五個月上升。根據(jù)能源服務(wù)公司貝克休斯(Baker Hughes Co.)的數(shù)據(jù)，本周鉆機數(shù)量增加了4臺，達到299臺，為5月份以來的最高水平。然而，世界最大產(chǎn)油國的復(fù)蘇步伐緩慢。預(yù)計在2023年之前，美國原油產(chǎn)量不會突破2019年的紀(jì)錄1225萬桶/天。值得一提的是，2020年的該國產(chǎn)量下降了6.4%，至1147萬桶/天。
????王佳晶 摘譯自 路透社
????原文如下：
????Oil rises 1%, hits highest in a year on growth hopes, OPEC+ output cuts
????Oil prices rose about 1% on Friday, after hitting their highest in a year and closing in on $60 a barrel, supported by economic revival hopes and supply curbs by producer group OPEC and its allies.
????Oil was also supported as U.S. stock markets hit record highs on signs of progress toward more economic stimulus, while a U.S. jobs report confirmed the labor market was stabilizing.
????Brent crude ended the session up 50 cents, or 0.9%, at $59.34 after hitting its highest since Feb. 20 at $59.79. U.S. crude settled up 62 cents, or 1.1%, at $56.85, after reaching $57.29, its highest since Jan. 22 last year.
????U.S. crude futures gained about 9% this week, the biggest percentage gain since October, in part due to U.S. inventories last week dropping to levels last seen in March.
????“Brent is eyeing the $60 level now that OPEC+ has successfully eased most supply side concerns and optimism on the COVID front improves globally,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.
????“The fundamentals remain solid for crude, but a consolidation seems likely given the recent runup.”
????The last time Brent traded at $60 a barrel, the pandemic had yet to take hold, economies were open and demand for fuel was much higher.
????The rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has fed hopes of demand growth, but even optimists, such as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries which expects a market deficit throughout 2021, do not expect oil consumption to return to pre-pandemic levels until 2022.
????“What is really helping the market today, and is a more valid reason for the price rise we see, once again comes from Saudi Arabia and its top firm, Aramco,” said Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets Bjornar Tonhaugen.
????Aramco raised its Arab Light official selling price (OSP) to Northwest Europe for March by $1.40 a barrel from the previous month. This could signal Saudi Arabia is more confident in the demand outlook, feeding bullish sentiment, Tonhaugen said.
????OPEC and allies, collectively known as OPEC+, stuck to their supply tightening policy at a meeting on Wednesday. Record OPEC+ cuts have helped lift prices from historic lows last year.
????“OPEC+ discipline has been a real positive,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets.
????The U.S. oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, has risen for five straight months. This week, the number of rigs rose by four to 299, the highest since May, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes Co.
????The pace of recovery in the world’s top producer, however, is slow. The government this week projected U.S. crude output will not to top its 2019 record of 12.25 million barrels per day until 2023. Production in 2020 tumbled 6.4% to 11.47 million bpd.
