???? 據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)2月19日?qǐng)?bào)道，據(jù)挪威國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局（SSB）的調(diào)查顯示，挪威的油氣公司在最近幾個(gè)月中增加了2021年的投資計(jì)劃，但較去年仍有所減少，并減少2022年的支出。
????SSB周三表示，預(yù)計(jì)2022年挪威油氣行業(yè)的投資將達(dá)到163億美元。這比2020年第一季度對(duì)2021年的估計(jì)值低8.9％。
????2022年所示減少的主要原因是油田開(kāi)發(fā)的估計(jì)數(shù)偏低。油田的估計(jì)數(shù)比2021年的相應(yīng)估計(jì)數(shù)低14%。該下降與2021年或2022年初完成更多開(kāi)發(fā)有關(guān)。
????一些開(kāi)發(fā)和運(yùn)營(yíng)計(jì)劃(PDO)預(yù)計(jì)將在2021年提交給政府。其中包括南克里斯汀(Kristin South)、Frosk、Kobra East/Gekko和Tommeliten Alpha。
????此外，預(yù)計(jì)PDO將到明年交付許多項(xiàng)目。這很可能與挪威去年6月通過(guò)的一攬子稅收措施有關(guān)。這些措施為所有在2023年1月1日之前提交的PDO的開(kāi)發(fā)投資提供了優(yōu)惠稅收。
????由于在開(kāi)發(fā)的第一年，對(duì)項(xiàng)目的投資往往不大。這些項(xiàng)目大多計(jì)劃在2022年末啟動(dòng)，因此2022年的投資水平將相對(duì)較低。
????2021年的預(yù)估上調(diào)
????SSB補(bǔ)充道，2021年，挪威油氣活動(dòng)的總投資估計(jì)為205億美元。這比上一季度的估計(jì)高出4.4％。
????這一類別的增加部分是由于一些項(xiàng)目的投資從2020年轉(zhuǎn)移到2021年。此外，原本計(jì)劃在2022年進(jìn)行的一些投資現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)提前到2021年。從2022年到2021年的加速投資計(jì)劃也可能與政府稅收措施有關(guān)。
????2020年投資小幅增長(zhǎng)
????2020年，油氣投資總額為212億美元。這僅比2019年的最終投資高出1％。去年，對(duì)生產(chǎn)中油田，關(guān)閉和拆除的投資增加促進(jìn)了增長(zhǎng)，而勘探和油田開(kāi)發(fā)的投資減少則抑制了增長(zhǎng)。
????根據(jù)SSB的初步數(shù)據(jù)顯示，從2019年到2020年，該行業(yè)的投資價(jià)格上漲了6.1％。盡管該調(diào)查顯示以現(xiàn)值計(jì)算的投資增長(zhǎng)很小，但實(shí)際投資活動(dòng)從2019年到2020年有所下降。
????SSB提醒道，從2020年3月初起，石油公司直接受到挪威感染控制措施的影響，并間接受到導(dǎo)致油價(jià)大幅下跌的全球新冠疫情措施的影響。
????一些鉆機(jī)和平臺(tái)上的感染控制措施和暴發(fā)導(dǎo)致經(jīng)季節(jié)性調(diào)整的投資從第一季度至第二季度下降8.6%。
????去年第四季度投資增加
????2020年第四季度的最終投資為55億美元。這比上一季度的估計(jì)值低6.4％，但比未經(jīng)調(diào)整的第三季度的投資高8.1％。從第三季度到第四季度的季節(jié)性調(diào)整增幅為4.1%。
????郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)
????原文如下:
????Norway: Oil firms increase 2021 spending plans. Decline set for 2022
????Oil and gas companies in Norway have increased their 2021 investment plans in recent months, but still plan to spend less than last year and to reduce spending in 2022, the national statistics office (SSB) survey said.
????SSB said on Wednesday that investments in the oil and gas industry of Norway for 2022 were estimated at $16.3 billion. This is 8.9 per cent lower than the estimate given for 2021 in the first quarter of 2020.
????The indicated decrease in 2022 is mainly due to low estimates in field development. The estimate in field development is 14 per cent lower than the corresponding estimate for 2021. The decline is related to more developments being completed in 2021 or early in 2022.
????Some plans for development and operation (PDOs) are expected to be submitted to the government during 2021. Among these are Kristin South, Frosk, Kobra East/Gekko, and Tommeliten Alpha.
????Furthermore, it is also expected that PDOs will be delivered on many projects by next year. This is most likely related to a tax measures package Norway adopted in June last year. The measures provide favourable taxation for all development investments with PDOs submitted before 1 January 2023.
????Since investments in projects tend to be modest in the first year of development. Most of these projects are planned to start up in late 2022 so there will be a relatively low level of investments in 2022.
????Estimate for 2021 upward adjusted
????SSB added that total investments in Norway’s oil and gas activity in 2021 were estimated at $20.5 billion. This is 4.4 per cent higher than estimated in the previous quarter.
????The increase for this category is partly due to shifts in investments from 2020 to 2021 on some projects. Also, some investments that were previously planned to be made in 2022 have now been accelerated to 2021. The accelerated investment plans from 2022 to 2021 may also be related to government tax measures.
????Small investment growth in 2020
????Total investments in oil and gas for 2020 were $21.2 billion. This is only one per cent higher than final investments in 2019. It was increased investments in the categories of fields on streams and shutdown and removal that contributed to growth last year, while lower investments in exploration and field development contributed to curbing growth.
????According to preliminary figures from SSB, investment prices in the industry increased by 6.1 per cent from 2019 to 2020. Although this survey shows a small investment growth in current value, the real investment activity has fallen from 2019 to 2020.
????SSB reminded that oil companies were affected by the corona pandemic from early March 2020 directly through Norwegian infection control measures and indirectly through global corona measures leading to a sharp fall in oil prices.
????Infection control measures and outbreaks on some rigs and platforms contributed to a seasonally adjusted fall in investments of 8.6 per cent from the first quarter to the second quarter.
????Higher investments in fourth quarter
????The final investments in the fourth quarter of 2020 came to $5.5 billion. This is 6.4 per cent lower than estimated in the previous quarter, but 8.1 per cent higher than the investments in the third quarter, unadjusted. The seasonally adjusted increase from the third quarter to the fourth quarter was 4.1 per cent.
