據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)時(shí)報(bào)2月22日消息：印度政府的初步估計(jì)顯示，在4月1日開始的下一財(cái)年，印度燃料需求可能會(huì)增長(zhǎng)5.5%，反映出這個(gè)亞洲第三大經(jīng)濟(jì)體的工業(yè)活動(dòng)和流動(dòng)性在經(jīng)歷數(shù)月的停滯后有所回升。

根據(jù)政府預(yù)測(cè)，印度2022年-2023年的燃料消耗(反映石油需求的指標(biāo))可能升至2.145億噸，高于截至2022年3月的當(dāng)前財(cái)年修正后的2.033億噸。

這些估計(jì)是在聯(lián)邦石油部下屬的石油規(guī)劃和分析小組(PPAC)的網(wǎng)站上發(fā)布的。

數(shù)據(jù)顯示，當(dāng)?shù)貙?duì)主要用于乘用車的汽油需求預(yù)計(jì)將增長(zhǎng)7.8%，至3330萬(wàn)噸，而柴油消費(fèi)量預(yù)計(jì)將增長(zhǎng)約4%，至7930萬(wàn)噸。

航空燃料消費(fèi)量可能會(huì)增加近50%，達(dá)到760萬(wàn)噸，而截至2022年3月的年度修正估計(jì)為510萬(wàn)噸。

PPAC說(shuō)，石油焦的需求可能增長(zhǎng)2.8%，至1,480萬(wàn)噸，而用作烹飪?nèi)剂系囊夯蜌庑枨箢A(yù)計(jì)將增長(zhǎng)4.5%，至2,970萬(wàn)噸。石油焦是一種燃燒效果更好的煤炭替代品。

馮娟 摘譯自 經(jīng)濟(jì)時(shí)報(bào)

原文如下：

India expects fuel demand to grow 5.5% in next fiscal year

India's fuel demand is likely to grow 5.5% in the next fiscal year beginning April 1, initial government estimates show, reflecting a pick-up in industrial activity and mobility in Asia's third largest economy after months of stagnation.

India's fuel consumption in 2022-23, a proxy for oil demand, could rise to 214.5 million tonnes from the revised estimates of 203.3 million tonnes for the current fiscal year ending March 2022, according to governmentforecasts.

The estimates were released on the website of the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC), a unit of the federal oil ministry.

Local demand for gasoline, used mainly in passenger vehicles, is expected to rise by 7.8% to 33.3 million tonnes, while gasoil consumption was slated grow by about 4% to 79.3 million tonnes, the data showed.

Consumption of aviation fuel would likely increase by nearly 50% to 7.6 million tonnes, compared with the revised estimate of 5.1 million tonnes for the year ending March 2022.

Demand for petcoke, a better-burning alternative to coal, could increase 2.8% to 14.8 million tonnes, while demand for liquefied petroleum gas, used as cooking fuel, is estimated to grow 4.5% to 29.7 million tonnes, PPAC said.

The table below shows the government's estimates for the fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 2023.